GrowthObservation 0012 min read
4
Revenue is evidence, not an explanation.
A rising line proves something happened. It says nothing about why, whether it was worth it, or whether it will happen again.
Marketplaces
Market context
Marketplaces balance buyers and sellers, subsidies and take rates, liquidity and quality. Growth on one side can hide weakening economics on the other.
Commercial pressures
Customer economics questions
Q1
What is contribution per transaction after incentives on both sides?
Q2
Which cohorts of buyers and sellers become self-sustaining?
Q3
Where is the take rate leaving value, or losing supply?
Relevant capabilities
Customer · Contribution · Repeat
Transaction · Contribution
The full chain
Illustrative commercial problem
Illustrative · Not a client example
Illustrative pattern. A marketplace grows transactions through buyer discounts and seller incentives. When incentives are reduced, a large share of activity stops, showing how much growth was rented rather than earned.
Intelligence
GrowthObservation 0012 min read
4
A rising line proves something happened. It says nothing about why, whether it was worth it, or whether it will happen again.
Customer EconomicsObservation 0022 min read
−14.6%
A business can get bigger and weaker at the same time. The gap shows up first in the customers, not in the P&L.
Customer EconomicsObservation 0042 min read
1.2 : 1
An LTV:CAC ratio is only as good as the churn behind it. Replace assumed churn with observed churn and the green light can turn red.
A TCB engagement
10–15
Business days
One commercial diagnosis and a clear 90-day path forward: the constraint identified, the economics diagnosed, the opportunity benchmarked and the intervention prioritized.
Start with the commercial problem you're trying to solve. We'll identify the constraint, diagnose the economics, and determine whether there is a useful next step.