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The Commercial Bit™

Marketplaces

A marketplace's economics live on both sides of the transaction.

Market context

Market context

Marketplaces balance buyers and sellers, subsidies and take rates, liquidity and quality. Growth on one side can hide weakening economics on the other.

Commercial pressures

  • 01Incentives that buy liquidity rather than building it.
  • 02Take-rate pressure from larger sellers.
  • 03Buyer acquisition costs rising as organic demand plateaus.

Customer economics questions

The questions leadership should be able to answer.

  1. Q1

    What is contribution per transaction after incentives on both sides?

  2. Q2

    Which cohorts of buyers and sellers become self-sustaining?

  3. Q3

    Where is the take rate leaving value, or losing supply?

Illustrative commercial problem

Illustrative · Not a client example

Liquidity that disappeared with the subsidy

Illustrative pattern. A marketplace grows transactions through buyer discounts and seller incentives. When incentives are reduced, a large share of activity stops, showing how much growth was rented rather than earned.

Intelligence

Related thinking.

All insights

GrowthObservation 0012 min read

4

Revenue is evidence, not an explanation.

A rising line proves something happened. It says nothing about why, whether it was worth it, or whether it will happen again.

Customer EconomicsObservation 0022 min read

−14.6%

Growth is not the same thing as value.

A business can get bigger and weaker at the same time. The gap shows up first in the customers, not in the P&L.

Customer EconomicsObservation 0042 min read

1.2 : 1

The ratio that reads 3 to 1, and isn't.

An LTV:CAC ratio is only as good as the churn behind it. Replace assumed churn with observed churn and the green light can turn red.

A TCB engagement

10–15

Business days

Customer Economics Sprint

One commercial diagnosis and a clear 90-day path forward: the constraint identified, the economics diagnosed, the opportunity benchmarked and the intervention prioritized.

Bring the constraint.We'll give it direction.

Start with the commercial problem you're trying to solve. We'll identify the constraint, diagnose the economics, and determine whether there is a useful next step.

  1. 01Identify the constraint
  2. 02Diagnose the economics
  3. 03Recommend the right intervention
  4. 04Define the next move