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The Commercial Bit™

Consumer Services

Service businesses sell capacity and trust. Both have an economic value.

Market context

Market context

Hospitality, travel, wellness and subscription businesses sell time, capacity and experience. Their economics depend on utilization, on the price mix of what is sold, and on whether customers return and recommend.

Commercial pressures

  • 01Distribution partners and aggregators taking a large share of each booking.
  • 02Dynamic pricing that fills capacity but erodes rate integrity.
  • 03Churn in subscription and membership models hidden by new sign-ups.
  • 04Experience investment without a clear line to repeat and referral.

Customer economics questions

The questions leadership should be able to answer.

  1. Q1

    What does each channel cost per booking or member, after commission?

  2. Q2

    Where is price discounting filling capacity that would have sold anyway?

  3. Q3

    Which customers return and refer, and what brought them?

  4. Q4

    What is observed, rather than assumed, member lifetime?

Illustrative commercial problem

Illustrative · Not a client example

Full, and less profitable

Illustrative pattern. A hospitality group lifts occupancy through online travel agencies and last-minute offers. Utilization looks excellent, while net rate after commission falls and direct, repeat bookings decline.

Intelligence

Related thinking.

All insights

Customer EconomicsObservation 0022 min read

−14.6%

Growth is not the same thing as value.

A business can get bigger and weaker at the same time. The gap shows up first in the customers, not in the P&L.

Customer EconomicsObservation 0042 min read

1.2 : 1

The ratio that reads 3 to 1, and isn't.

An LTV:CAC ratio is only as good as the churn behind it. Replace assumed churn with observed churn and the green light can turn red.

PricingObservation 0062 min read

+75%

The discount that needs 75% more units.

Break-even volume on a promotion is almost always higher than the discount itself. At 30% off and a 70% margin, it is 75%.

A TCB engagement

10–15

Business days

Customer Economics Sprint

One commercial diagnosis and a clear 90-day path forward: the constraint identified, the economics diagnosed, the opportunity benchmarked and the intervention prioritized.

Bring the constraint.We'll give it direction.

Start with the commercial problem you're trying to solve. We'll identify the constraint, diagnose the economics, and determine whether there is a useful next step.

  1. 01Identify the constraint
  2. 02Diagnose the economics
  3. 03Recommend the right intervention
  4. 04Define the next move