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The Commercial Bit™

E-commerce

E-commerce shows every click and hides the economics of the order.

Market context

Market context

E-commerce businesses measure every step of the funnel and often lose sight of the order after it is placed. Shipping, returns, payment fees and discounts decide whether each order creates value.

Commercial pressures

  • 01Return rates that rise with new customer cohorts.
  • 02Free-shipping thresholds that shape basket size and margin.
  • 03Paid acquisition costs rising faster than order value.

Customer economics questions

The questions leadership should be able to answer.

  1. Q1

    What is contribution per order after shipping, returns and fees?

  2. Q2

    Which acquisition sources bring customers who return less and repeat more?

  3. Q3

    Where do shipping and discount thresholds change basket economics?

Illustrative commercial problem

Illustrative · Not a client example

The order that lost money after it shipped

Illustrative pattern. Conversion rate improves after a free-returns campaign. Return rates climb faster, and contribution per order falls even as revenue and orders rise.

Intelligence

Related thinking.

All insights

Customer EconomicsObservation 0022 min read

−14.6%

Growth is not the same thing as value.

A business can get bigger and weaker at the same time. The gap shows up first in the customers, not in the P&L.

Customer EconomicsObservation 0042 min read

1.2 : 1

The ratio that reads 3 to 1, and isn't.

An LTV:CAC ratio is only as good as the churn behind it. Replace assumed churn with observed churn and the green light can turn red.

A TCB engagement

10–15

Business days

Customer Economics Sprint

One commercial diagnosis and a clear 90-day path forward: the constraint identified, the economics diagnosed, the opportunity benchmarked and the intervention prioritized.

Bring the constraint.We'll give it direction.

Start with the commercial problem you're trying to solve. We'll identify the constraint, diagnose the economics, and determine whether there is a useful next step.

  1. 01Identify the constraint
  2. 02Diagnose the economics
  3. 03Recommend the right intervention
  4. 04Define the next move