Customer EconomicsObservation 0022 min read
−14.6%
Growth is not the same thing as value.
A business can get bigger and weaker at the same time. The gap shows up first in the customers, not in the P&L.
Consumer Brands
Market context
Consumer brands sell through their own channels, retailers and marketplaces at once. Growth depends on the quality of acquired demand, the price the brand can hold, and how much repeat and brand demand arrives without paid media.
Commercial pressures
Customer economics questions
Q1
What share of demand arrives without paid media, and is it growing?
Q2
Which channels create repeat customers rather than one-time buyers?
Q3
How much price premium does the brand hold against the category?
Relevant capabilities
Repeat · Future demand
Customer · Contribution · Repeat
Transaction · Contribution
Illustrative commercial problem
Illustrative · Not a client example
Illustrative pattern. Direct-to-consumer revenue grows while branded search and direct traffic decline. The brand is paying to reacquire customers it once attracted for free.
Intelligence
Customer EconomicsObservation 0022 min read
−14.6%
A business can get bigger and weaker at the same time. The gap shows up first in the customers, not in the P&L.
Customer EconomicsObservation 0042 min read
1.2 : 1
An LTV:CAC ratio is only as good as the churn behind it. Replace assumed churn with observed churn and the green light can turn red.
PricingObservation 0062 min read
+75%
Break-even volume on a promotion is almost always higher than the discount itself. At 30% off and a 70% margin, it is 75%.
A TCB engagement
10–15
Business days
One commercial diagnosis and a clear 90-day path forward: the constraint identified, the economics diagnosed, the opportunity benchmarked and the intervention prioritized.
Start with the commercial problem you're trying to solve. We'll identify the constraint, diagnose the economics, and determine whether there is a useful next step.