GrowthObservation 0012 min read
4
Revenue is evidence, not an explanation.
A rising line proves something happened. It says nothing about why, whether it was worth it, or whether it will happen again.
Subscription Businesses
Market context
Subscription businesses report recurring revenue, but its value depends on cohort retention, discounting at sign-up and the cost of winning customers back.
Commercial pressures
Customer economics questions
Q1
What is retention by acquisition cohort and offer?
Q2
How much revenue comes from customers reacquired after churning?
Q3
Where do price increases hold, and where do they drive cancellation?
Relevant capabilities
Customer · Contribution · Repeat
Transaction · Contribution
The full chain
Illustrative commercial problem
Illustrative · Not a client example
Illustrative pattern. A subscription brand's win-back campaign performs well on reported cost per acquisition. A large share of 'new' subscribers are customers it had already acquired, and lost, once before.
Intelligence
GrowthObservation 0012 min read
4
A rising line proves something happened. It says nothing about why, whether it was worth it, or whether it will happen again.
Customer EconomicsObservation 0022 min read
−14.6%
A business can get bigger and weaker at the same time. The gap shows up first in the customers, not in the P&L.
Customer EconomicsObservation 0042 min read
1.2 : 1
An LTV:CAC ratio is only as good as the churn behind it. Replace assumed churn with observed churn and the green light can turn red.
A TCB engagement
10–15
Business days
One commercial diagnosis and a clear 90-day path forward: the constraint identified, the economics diagnosed, the opportunity benchmarked and the intervention prioritized.
Start with the commercial problem you're trying to solve. We'll identify the constraint, diagnose the economics, and determine whether there is a useful next step.