Customer EconomicsObservation 0022 min read
−14.6%
Growth is not the same thing as value.
A business can get bigger and weaker at the same time. The gap shows up first in the customers, not in the P&L.
Wellness
Market context
Wellness, fitness and health-adjacent consumer businesses depend on memberships, packages and habits. Early churn and introductory offers decide whether acquisition creates value.
Commercial pressures
Customer economics questions
Q1
What share of introductory customers become full-price members?
Q2
When does churn happen, and what predicts it?
Q3
Which offers create lasting habits rather than trials?
Relevant capabilities
Customer · Contribution · Repeat
Repeat · Future demand
Transaction · Contribution
Illustrative commercial problem
Illustrative · Not a client example
Illustrative pattern. A studio group's trial offer drives record sign-ups. Few convert to full membership, and the cost of serving trial users exceeds what the converting minority is worth.
Intelligence
Customer EconomicsObservation 0022 min read
−14.6%
A business can get bigger and weaker at the same time. The gap shows up first in the customers, not in the P&L.
Customer EconomicsObservation 0042 min read
1.2 : 1
An LTV:CAC ratio is only as good as the churn behind it. Replace assumed churn with observed churn and the green light can turn red.
PricingObservation 0062 min read
+75%
Break-even volume on a promotion is almost always higher than the discount itself. At 30% off and a 70% margin, it is 75%.
A TCB engagement
10–15
Business days
One commercial diagnosis and a clear 90-day path forward: the constraint identified, the economics diagnosed, the opportunity benchmarked and the intervention prioritized.
Start with the commercial problem you're trying to solve. We'll identify the constraint, diagnose the economics, and determine whether there is a useful next step.