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The Commercial Bit™

Hospitality

Occupancy is a measure of volume. Rate and repeat are measures of value.

Market context

Market context

Hotels, restaurants and venues sell perishable capacity. Economics depend on rate integrity, channel mix, ancillary spend and the guests who return directly.

Commercial pressures

  • 01Online travel agency commissions on a growing share of bookings.
  • 02Discounting to fill capacity in soft periods.
  • 03Loyalty and direct-booking programs with unclear returns.

Customer economics questions

The questions leadership should be able to answer.

  1. Q1

    What is net rate after distribution cost, by channel?

  2. Q2

    Which guest segments return directly?

  3. Q3

    Where does discounting fill rooms that would have sold anyway?

Illustrative commercial problem

Illustrative · Not a client example

Full rooms, thinner margins

Illustrative pattern. Occupancy reaches a record while average net rate after commission falls, and the share of guests booking direct declines.

Intelligence

Related thinking.

All insights

Customer EconomicsObservation 0022 min read

−14.6%

Growth is not the same thing as value.

A business can get bigger and weaker at the same time. The gap shows up first in the customers, not in the P&L.

Customer EconomicsObservation 0042 min read

1.2 : 1

The ratio that reads 3 to 1, and isn't.

An LTV:CAC ratio is only as good as the churn behind it. Replace assumed churn with observed churn and the green light can turn red.

A TCB engagement

10–15

Business days

Customer Economics Sprint

One commercial diagnosis and a clear 90-day path forward: the constraint identified, the economics diagnosed, the opportunity benchmarked and the intervention prioritized.

Bring the constraint.We'll give it direction.

Start with the commercial problem you're trying to solve. We'll identify the constraint, diagnose the economics, and determine whether there is a useful next step.

  1. 01Identify the constraint
  2. 02Diagnose the economics
  3. 03Recommend the right intervention
  4. 04Define the next move